Modification of the ionosphere before the strong earthquake of january 13, 2007 with magnitude М = 8.1: An integrated approach

封面

如何引用文章

全文:

开放存取 开放存取
受限制的访问 ##reader.subscriptionAccessGranted##
受限制的访问 订阅或者付费存取

详细

A study was carried out of vertical sounding data collected by two ground-based vertical ionosondes Wakkanai and Kokubunji, situated within the preparation zone of an earthquake with a magnitude of M = 8.1, which occurred on January 13, 2007 at 04:23:21 UT east of Simushir Island and was the second of a sequence of two strong (M >8) earthquakes on November 15, 2006 and January 13, 2007, which were unique events in the seismic history of the Middle Kuril Islands. A comprehensive analysis of ionospheric data showed that 13-14 hours before this earthquake, specific anomalies in the E- and F-regions of the ionosphere were simultaneously observed over both ionospheric stations, which, with a high degree of probability, were its short-term ionospheric precursors. It is shown that additional consideration when analyzing ionospheric data of the behavior of the Barbier δ-parameter, constructed on their basis, significantly increases the correctness of identification of detected ionospheric earthquake precursors in complex situations.

全文:

受限制的访问

作者简介

S. Pulinets

Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: pulse@rssi.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow

V. Hegai

Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation

Email: hegai@izmiran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow, Troitsk

А. Legenka

Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation

Email: hegai@izmiran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow, Troitsk

L. Korsunova

Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation

Email: hegai@izmiran.ru
俄罗斯联邦, Moscow, Troitsk

参考

  1. Апродов В.А. Зоны землетрясений. М.: Мысль, 461 с. 2000.
  2. Бычков В.В., Корсунова Л.П., Смирнов С.Э., Хегай В.В. Аномалии в ионосфере и электричестве приземного слоя атмосферы перед Камчатским землетрясением 30.01.2016 г. по данным обсерватории “Паратунка” // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. Т. 57. № 4. С. 532–540. 2017. https://doi.org/10.7868/S0016794017040058
  3. Корсунова Л.П., Легенька А.Д. Обнаружение возможных краткосрочных ионосферных предвестников сильных землетрясений по изменениям ежесуточных характеристик Es // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия Т. 61. № 6. С. 803–811. 2021. https://doi.org/10.31857/S0016794021050060
  4. Пулинец С.А., Хегай В.В., Легенька А.Д., Корсунова Л.П. Новый параметр для анализа ионосферных возмущений и поиска ионосферных предвестников землетрясений на основе формулы Барбье // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. Т. 62. № 3. С. 383–392. 2022. https://doi.org/10.31857/S0016794022030154
  5. Пулинец С.А., Хегай В.В., Легенька А.Д., Корсунова Л.П. Эффективность относительного δ-параметра Барбье при поиске ионосферных предвестников землетрясений // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. Т. 63. № 3. С. 349–357. 2023. https://doi.org/10.31857/S0016794023600102
  6. Рогожин Е.А., Левина В.И. Симуширские землетрясения 15 ноября 2006 г. (I) и 13 января 2007 г. (II) с Mw=8.3 и Mw=8.1 (Средние Курилы) // Землетрясения Северной Евразии. Вып. 16. С. 326–338. 2007.
  7. Руководство URSI по интерпретации и обработке ионограмм / Пер. с англ. под ред. Н.В. Медниковой. М.: Наука, 343 с. 1977.
  8. Сидорин А.Я. Предвестники землетрясений. М.: Наука, 192 с. 1992.
  9. Хегай В.В. Эволюция очага и зоны подготовки корового землетрясения: упрощенное феноменологическое описание // Наука и технологические разработки. Т. 92. № 4. С. 19–30. 2013.
  10. Хегай В.В., Легенька А.Д., Абунин А.А., Абунина М.А., Белов А.В., Гайдаш С.П. Солнечная активность, вариации галактических космических лучей и глобальная сейсмичность Земли // Геомагнетизм и аэрономия. Т. 62. № 1. С. 40–51. 2022. https://doi.org/10.31857/S0016794022010102
  11. Barbier D. La lumiere du ciel nocturne en ete a Tamanrasset // Compt. Rend. Acad. Sci., Paris. № 245. № 18. P. 1559–1561. 1957.
  12. Barbier D., Glaume J. La couche ionosphérique nocturne F dans la zone intertropicale et ses relations avec 1’émission de la raie 6300 Å du ciel nocturne // Planet. Space Sci. V. 9. № 4. P. 133−148. 1962. https://doi.org/10.1016/0032-0633(62)90001-6
  13. Barbier D., Roach F.E., Steiger W.R. The summer intensity variation of [OI] 6300 A in the tropics // J. Res. NBS. D. Rad. Sci. V. 66D. № 2. P. 145–152. 1962. http://dx.doi.org/10.6028/jres.066D.017
  14. Bowman D.D., Ouillon G., Sammis C.G., Sornette A., Sornette D. An observational test of the critical earthquake concept // J. Geophys. Res. – Sol. Ea. V. 103. № 10. P. 24359–24372. 1998. https://doi.org/10.1029/98JB00792
  15. Chattopadhyay R., Midya S.K. Airglow emissions: fundamentals of theory and experiment // Indian J. Phys. V. 80. № 2. P. 115–166. 2006.
  16. Dobrovolsky I.P., Zubkov S.I., Miachkin V.I. Estimation of the size of earthquake preparation zones // Pure Appl. Geophys. V. 117. № 5. P. 1025–1044. 1979. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00876083
  17. Hao J., Tang T.M., Li D.R. Progress in the research of atmospheric electric field anomaly as an index for short-impending prediction of earthquakes // Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research. V. 8. № 3. P. 241–255. 2000.
  18. https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/modelweb/models/nrlmsise00.php
  19. https://wdc.nict.go.jp/IONO/HP2009/contents/Ionosonde_Map_E.html
  20. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
  21. https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/lists-maps-and-statistics
  22. Klotz S., Johnson N.L. (Eds.) Encyclopedia of statistical sciences. Haboken, NJ: John Wiley, 736 p. 1983.
  23. Liu J.Y., Chen Y.I., Chuo Y.J., Chen C.S. A statistical investigation of preearthquake ionospheric anomaly // J. Geophys. Res. – Space. V. 111. № 5. ID A05304. 2006. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JA011333
  24. Liu J.-Y., Chen Y.-I., Jhuang H.-K., Lin Y.-H. Ionospheric foF2 and TEC anomalous days associated with M > 5.0 earthquakes in Taiwan during 1997–1999 // Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. V. 15. № 3. P. 371–383. 2004. https://doi.org/10.3319/TAO.2004.15.3.371(EP)
  25. Liu J.Y., Chen C.H., Tsai H.F. A statistical study on ionospheric precursors of the total electron content associated with 146 M > 6.0 earthquakes in Japan during 1998–2011 / Earthquake prediction studies: seismo electromagnetics. Ed. M. Hayakawa. Tokyo: Terrapub. P. 17–29. 2013.
  26. Liu J., Huang J., Zhang X. Ionospheric perturbations in plasma parameters before global strong earthquakes // Adv. Space Res. V. 53. № 5. P. 776–787. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2013.12.029
  27. Loewe C.A., Prölss G.W. Classification and mean behavior of magnetic storms // J. Geophys. Res. – Space. V. 102. № 7. P. 14209–14213. 1997. https://doi.org/10.1029/96JA04020
  28. Oyama K.-I., Devi M., Ryu K., Chen C.H., Liu J.-Y., Liu H., Bankov L., Kodama T. Modifications of the ionosphere prior to large earthquakes: report from the Ionosphere Precursor Study Group // Geoscience Letters. V. 3. ID 6. 2016. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-016-0038-3
  29. Saha A., Guha A., De B.K., Roy R., Choudhury A., Banik T., Dhar P., Chakraborty M. Precursory signature of several major earthquakes studied using 40 kHz low frequency signal // Adv. Space Res. V. 54. № 4. P. 617–627. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2014.04.024

补充文件

附件文件
动作
1. JATS XML
下载
2. Fig. 1. Geographical positions of the epicenter of the earthquake with M = 8.1 that occurred on January 13, 2007 (triangular star) and also of ionospheric stations Wakkanai and Kokubunji (black circles). The epicentral distances to the stations along the arc of the great circle are indicated near the corresponding arrows, and the radius of the RD ≈ 3000 km preparation zone is shown above the figure. Thick solid lines define the positions of plate boundaries in the lithospheric absorption region, and thin solid lines delineate the islands of the Japanese archipelago.

下载 (113KB)
索引源数据
3. Fig. 2.Variations (solid lines in all panels) of geophysical indices (a) - Kp; (b) - Bz-component of the interplanetary magnetic field; (c) - AE, and also hourly variations of values of current critical frequencies foF2cur at Kokubunji station (d) and Wakkanai station (e) on seven-day time interval from 7. 01.01.2007 to 13. 01.01.2007. The long vertical arrow (passing through panels d and e and crossing their abscissa axes) marks the moment of the earthquake, and blackened rectangles under it - intervals of local time from 18:00 to 6:00 LT.In panels d and e, the lines given by “dots” correspond to the median values for 13 geomagnetically quiet (Q) days of January (foF2medQ), when the Kp-index value did not exceed the value 2+ during the whole day, and the dashed lines define the interval foF2medQ ± 1.5IQR. The dark filled areas of excess of foF2cur over foF2medQ are marked with arrows as possible IPZs, and small rectangles of the same color near the abscissa axes correspond to the time intervals when the F-scattering and sporadic Es layer were observed synchronously at both stations.

下载 (456KB)
索引源数据
4. Fig. 3. Ionograms of Wakkanai station (upper panel) and Kokubunji station (lower panel) at 15 h UT 01.12.2007. The sporadic Es layer and F-scattering are observed at both stations.

下载 (173KB)
索引源数据
5. Fig. 4. Panel (a) shows the behavior of the δBarbier parameter during unlit hours.The horizontal line (dots) corresponds to the median values over the selected seven-day interval, and the dashed lines mark the levels of K± = (δBarbier)MED ± 1.5IQR. The dark fill in panel a marks the likely short-term IPZ of the earthquake 13-14 h before the shock. Panel b repeats panel e of Fig. 2 with the same labels.

下载 (231KB)
索引源数据

版权所有 © Russian Academy of Sciences, 2025